India China Clash At Ladakh.. Consequences And Strategy Of War..Complete Analysis

India China Clashes! 

Consequences And Strategy

Hey Friends! How have you been? Hope you are doing well in this time of a deadly pandemic. As a new contributor to this blog site, this is my first post.

Also in this time of the deadly pandemic, some of our brothers and sisters are working day and night to keep our country running.

 I would pay respect to our doctors, nurses, police, sweepers, bankers and many more such warriors...Also in this pandemic, our Indian Army has made a great and memorable example of true patriotism.

Recently a major event is trending on the news channels and that is

      "CLASH OF INDIA AND CHINA IN GALWAN VALLEY"

So what are the reasons for this clash, what are the consequences of the probable war, the aftermath? Let's find out...

Clash of India and China in Ladakh

Recent reports claim that there has been a clash between the Indian and the Chinese forces at the Galwan Valley in Ladakh on 15th June in which 20 Indian soldiers were killed leaving 76 injured and 10 soldiers were captured by China who were later released on 18  June...

45—50 Chinese soldiers also died and 17 injured with 15 captured including their colonel officer...

These numbers are of Indian sources. Since 5 May 2020, each country was deploying its forces near the Line of Actual Control(LAC).

Many meetings were held after than including the All Party Meeting which was conducted by our Prime minister 'Shri Narendra Modi'.

How was AkshaiChin lost by India?

China has been for a long time claiming a part of the Ladakh as his territory. China normally disputes with India in three regions which are Ladakh, parts of Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh. In this post, we will limit our talk to Ladakh. In 1956 China started construction of a road linking Xinjiang and Tibet which passes through the AkshaiChin area. India tried to restrict Chian but consequently, resulted in the Indo—Sino war of 1962 which unfortunately India lost and from that time AkshaiChin is politically administrated by China. Clashes again arose in 2010 when India started constructing a road near the LAC which we shall discuss later... Chinese forces have entered India through three locations namely Galwan valley, Pangong Tso, Demchok.

Why China is so sensitive regarding Galwan?

At the time of Vajpayee's govt. our defence minister was George Fernandes. He regarded the border of India and China as unsafe and started building a strategic road in Ladakh. In this project, a road was made namely Darbuk Shyok road which crossed the Shyok river and linked Darbuk with an airfield near Siachen namely Daulat Beg Oldi. This road is 250 kilometres long and is located at a height of 14,000 feet. But China had no problem with this road. His problem arose when a link was made connecting Galwan valley to this road...If this road was not made then it would take the army 8 hrs to reach Galwan valley where Chinese armies have made their base but due to this road, the army would take only 35 mins to reach Galwan valley. Another major factor was that although the road was made the bridge on the Shyok river was temporary. So army vehicles and artilleries couldn't cross the river. But now a permanent bridge has been made through which armed vehicles could easily cross the river. This project is providing China with a good headache. 

DARBUK SHYOK ROAD

Another factor also arises at Daulat Beg Oldi airfield. This airfield is located at a great height and is considered that no flights can be landed on it. But India landed it's heaviest flight named C—7 GLOBE MASTER which could carry 17 tonnes of weight easily. After that India landed a variety of aircraft on the airfield. China is now tensed that if a war happens and they tried to block the road of Galwan valley than the fleets at Daulat Beg Oldi can easily destroy its bases and Chinese aircrafts cannot destroy the airfield at Daulat Beg Oldi as it is located at a great height. India has also landed its helicopters on Siachen Glacier which was considered an impossible task. But IAF has done this task and ammunition, food and medical supplies could be easily transported to Siachen.

Another problem arose that a trade road named China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) which is a major project which ensured a trade between Pakistan and China passes through the PoK. Now if a war happened India can easily destroy the CPEC from Siachen and Daulat Beg Oldi airfield. Hence China is tensed that the Darbuk Shyok road and Daulat Beg Oldi airfield are providing India with a major strategic advantage and its forces and trade links can easily be destroyed.

CHINA PAKISTAN ECONOMIC CORRIDOR

What will happen if war begins?

Recent events may lead to a war.If a war begins it will be very necessary for India to destroy the CPEC. If CPEC is not destroyed than China can surround India from two fronts which will create havoc. Pakistan might help China in the war. The war can be fought by the three units of forces which are Army, Navy, Airforce...In previous wars, there were separate generals for Army, Navy, and Airforce but now we have the supreme commander of all the forces which is CHIEF DEFENCE SECRETARY (CDS)...This post will bind all the forces and will help India to fight the war in a collective sense. If Pakistan helps China than India might surround China on three fronts...India may take help from Vietnam and Japan. These two countries also share a rivalry with China...

Vietnam can attack China on its southeastern front and Japan from the eastern front. If we will succeed in convincing Japan on our side than the USA will be forced to join the war on Indian side because of a treaty named,'TREATY OF MUTUAL COOPERATION AND SECURITY BETWEEN U.S.A AND JAPAN.'

According to this treaty if Japan is involved in any war then the USA is bound to help Japan under any circumstances. Thus India will gain major support and China will be surrounded on three fronts. As I already said if a war starts then not only the army will be involved but all the three units of forces. So let's discuss the about the Military comparisons and defence budget.

DEFENCE BUDGET

As we know Indian forces ranks 4th in the world and Chinese forces rank 3rd in the world after U.S.A and Russia. China has a defence budget of 237B$ and India has a defence budget of 61B$. But China also has a debt of 1.5T$ and India has a debt of 0.5T$.

But on the other hand, China has a foreign exchange of 3000T$ and India has a foreign exchange of 400T$...

Armed Forces

Let's discuss the armed forces. According to me, the major war will be held on-air as China shares a mountainous border with India so the army will not be so effective. So let's discuss the air force first.

AIR FORCE

China has 1232 combat aircraft of 4th and 5th generation while India has 538 combat aircraft of 3rd and 4th generation. But China cannot use combat aircraft in front of India with its full capacity because of Tibetan plateau which is 5000m high. So China has to fly a minimum height of 8000m where the air pressure will be very low..Because of this China will be forced to reduce its ammunition by 70%. But India can attack with 100% capacity as no plateau is present on the India side but the Gangetic Plains. China has 371 attack aircraft and India has 172 aircraft but the same Tibetan plateau posses a problem and China will be forced to reduce its ammunition by 50%. China has 224 transport aircraft and India has 250 transport aircraft but this will not create any difference. China has 911 helicopters and India has 722 helicopters but India has advanced technology helicopters than China which also include double propeller helicopters. China has 281 attack helicopters and India has 23 attack helicopters. India is behind in this stage.

So in Airforce, we will conclude that Tibetan plateau will create a problem for China. So China can't attack India with full potential in Airforce. So India will create pressure on China with its Airforce...

Army

As I have already told you that China shares a mountainous border with India so tanks and self artilleries will be out of use. But canons will be very important in mountainous areas. China has 3600 canons and India have 4060 canons. This will provide India with a major advantage and can destroy Chinese bases easily. China has 2650 multi rocket launchers while India has 266 multi rocket launchers. China is ahead in this field. We are often told that China has a greater army strength than us, but the other side of the coin is always hidden. China has an active military strength of 21 lakhs and India have 14 lakhs but the reserve forces of China is 5 lakhs. So total forces of China is 26 lakhs but India has a reserve force of 21 lakhs, hence total army of India is 35 lakhs. India is again ahead in army strength. So as a whole India will again get support in army strength...

NAVY

Now let's discuss Navy. China has a fleet strength of 777 and India has a fleet strength of 285. You might think that China has an advantage but it is not always the same. China cannot deploy it's fleet to the Indian Ocean from South China sea as it has a tense relationship with Taiwan, Vietnam and Japan which all have a coastline on the South China Sea. China has 2 aircraft carriers while India owns only one. India previously had 4 aircraft carriers but unfortunately, 3 are now retired. China has 74 submarines which are the major strength of China while India owns only 16. With our present money and resources, India can produce only 5 submarines in 10 years!! but to withstand this India have recently bought P8i aircraft from USA..This flight is also known as a submarine hunter. It can destroy any submarine which is underwater from the air itself. India can completely destroy Chinese submarines from only one P8i aircraft. China has 36 destroyers 52 frigates and 50 corvettes while India has 10 destroyers 13 frigates and 19 corvettes. But as I already said China cannot deploy its major fleets from the South China Sea...

AFTERMATH

As you already saw that if a war begins it will not be a one-sided war as it occurred in 1962. India will give a neck to neck fight with China. Chinese forces can be greater than India in numbers but it has many limitations.- China cannot compete with Indian Airforce with its full capacity because of Tibetan plateau. It cannot compete in the army as India has a more geographical advantage. It cannot deploy it's Navy because of its tense relationship in the South China Sea... Another advantage India has is that India has more war experience than China. So India's war plans and strategies will be much better than China.

But it is clear that if a war begins it will lead to major havoc in the country. The economy of both the countries will go down. Chinese trade links will be blocked as CPEC will be destroyed and its route of sea trade will be blocked as it travels through the Indian Ocean. India will also get a major economic downfall which India as a developing country cannot bear.

MY OPINION.

We Indians believe in, "vasudhaiva kutumbakam" which means the whole world is a family. War should be always the last resort to resolve any conflict. Diplomatic talks must continue with China and we all must support the government. But if China again gives us the bitter taste of betrayal than India must give a tit for tat to China...

In the end, I would like to say just, "Enjoy Reading".

THANK YOU

-Dibyaansh Pradhan

(Dibyaansh Pradhan is a new contributor for this blog. He would be working on the informative posts. I would be responsible for the novel chapters. We've just reached more than 3.1k views. Thank You, all. For all the support. Had you informed me this a year ago, I wouldn't have believed but it has happened and truly, unimaginable. Credits also to my sister- Ayushi Srivastava who never left me in even any one chapter of this year's journey. Always tried to make my content error-free. Also Credits to Dibyaansh Pradhan, who recently joined me, and did promotion on a very large scale, to many of my friends and to all the audience. I Love You All.

 -Abhinav Srivastava )